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912870_3416873_lecture23.pdf, Study notes of Stochastic Processes

Class: TOPICS IN PROBABILITY THEORY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; Subject: Mathematics; University: Kent State University;

Typology: Study notes

2009/2010

Uploaded on 02/24/2010

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Lecture 23
Math 50051, Topics in Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes
Properties of the stochastic integral:
1) Linearity:
Zt
0
aX(s) + bY (s)dW (s) = aZt
0
X(s)dW (s) + bZt
0
Y(s)dW (s)
2) E[Rt
0X(s)dW (s)] = 0
3) Isometry:
E[Rt
0X(s)dW (s)2] = Rt
0E[Y(s)2]ds
4) For each t0, let Yt=Rt
0g(s)dW (s). Then Yis adapted to FW.
5) Martingale property:
If It=Rt
0g(s)dW (s), then Iis a FW-martingale.
Examples: Models that describe the dynamic behavior of asset prices contain invention terms that
represent unpredictable news. As a result, an integral of the form
Zt+∆t
t
σ(s)dW (s)
is a sum of unpredictable disturbances that affect asset prices during an interval of length t. Now,
if each increment is unpredictable given the information set at time t, the sum of these increments
should also be unpredictable. This means that
E(Zt+∆t
t
σ(s)dW (s)|Ft) = 0
But this is equivalent to:
E(Zt+∆t
0
σ(s)dW (s)|Ft) = E(Zt
0
σ(s)dW (s)|Ft) = Zt
0
σ(s)dW (s)
which is exactly the martingale property of the stochastic integral. Hence, the existence of unpre-
dictable innovation terms in equations describing the dynamics of asset prices coincides well with
the martingale property of the Ito integral. Let’s look at particular case: σ(s) = σ, a constant.
Then:
Zt+∆t
t
σ(s)dW (s) = σ(Wt+∆tWt)
Exercises:
1) Show, using the properties of the si that:
E(I(X)I(Y)) = Zt
0
E(X(s)Y(s))ds
1
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Lecture 23

Math 50051, Topics in Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes

Properties of the stochastic integral:

  1. Linearity: (^) ∫ t 0

aX(s) + bY (s)dW (s) = a

∫ (^) t

0

X(s)dW (s) + b

∫ (^) t

0

Y (s)dW (s)

2) E[

∫ (^) t 0 X(s)dW^ (s)] = 0

  1. Isometry: E[

∫ (^) t 0 X(s)dW^ (s)

(^2) ] = ∫^ t 0 E[Y^ (s)

(^2) ]ds

  1. For each t ≥ 0, let Yt =

∫ (^) t 0 g(s)dW^ (s). Then^ Y^ is adapted to^ FW^.

  1. Martingale property:

If It =

∫ (^) t 0 g(s)dW^ (s), then^ I^ is a^ F

W (^) -martingale.

Examples: Models that describe the dynamic behavior of asset prices contain invention terms that represent unpredictable news. As a result, an integral of the form ∫ (^) t+∆t

t

σ(s)dW (s)

is a sum of unpredictable disturbances that affect asset prices during an interval of length ∆t. Now, if each increment is unpredictable given the information set at time t, the sum of these increments should also be unpredictable. This means that

E(

∫ (^) t+∆t

t

σ(s)dW (s)|Ft) = 0

But this is equivalent to:

E(

∫ (^) t+∆t

0

σ(s)dW (s)|Ft) = E(

∫ (^) t

0

σ(s)dW (s)|Ft) =

∫ (^) t

0

σ(s)dW (s)

which is exactly the martingale property of the stochastic integral. Hence, the existence of unpre- dictable innovation terms in equations describing the dynamics of asset prices coincides well with the martingale property of the Ito integral. Let’s look at particular case: σ(s) = σ, a constant. Then: (^) ∫ (^) t+∆t

t

σ(s)dW (s) = σ(Wt+∆t − Wt)

Exercises:

  1. Show, using the properties of the si that:

E(I(X)I(Y )) =

∫ (^) t

0

E(X(s)Y (s))ds

where I(X) is the si of X with respect to W. 2) Verify the equality: ∫ (^) t

0

W (s)dW (s) =

2 W^ (t)

2 t

using the definition of the stochastic integral.

Quadratic variation of a martingale:

Theorem:

Let M be a martingale such that for any t ≥ 0, E[(Mt)^2 ] < ∞ (i.e. square integrable martingale).Then the quantity n∑− 1

k=

[M (

(k + 1)t n )^ −^ M^ (^

kt n )]

2

converges in L^2 to a r.v. A(t) that is called quadratic variation of M, and it is denoted by A(t) =< M > (t).

Properties:

  1. A is a stochastic process that is adapted to FM^ , i.e. A(t) ∈ FtM.

  2. A(t) is non-decreasing a.s.

Remark:

For B.m. we have

E[

n∑− 1

k=

[B(

(k + 1)t n )^ −^ B(^

kt n )]

2 ]

n∑− 1

k=

E[[B( (k^ + 1)t n

) − B( kt n

)]^2 ] =

n∑− 1

k=

t n

= t

Exercise: Show that < B > (t) = t, < W > (t) = t, if B is a B.m.

Remark:

The converse is also true (Paul Levy): If M is a square integral martingale that is a.s. continuous, and if < M > (t) = t, then M is a B.m.

Interpretation:

What is the interpretation of quadratic variation?

n∑− 1

k=

|f ( t(k^ n+ 1) ) − f ( tkn )|1+α^ →? as n → ∞

For B.m. (∗) → ∞ if α < 1 ; (∗) → t if α = 1 : (∗) → 0 if α > 1